Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 14.223078 16.219685 18.355649 20.806056 23.534689 26.474911 29.877878
2024-10-27 10.844285 13.435528 16.404407 20.040045 24.353363 29.287706 35.338891
2024-11-03 9.227230 12.317083 16.079840 20.957680 27.067492 34.417724 43.873861
2024-11-10 8.376932 11.963410 16.576343 22.864214 31.119762 41.487581 55.375218
2024-11-17 7.375979 11.241867 16.480238 23.965386 34.230394 47.637789 66.262894
2024-11-24 6.228765 10.127428 15.688314 24.006166 35.898434 52.017819 75.185184
2024-12-01 5.136364 8.907480 14.565960 23.415130 36.583595 55.071878 82.506652
2024-12-08 4.378706 8.069181 13.874712 23.333681 37.931015 59.083839 91.378396
2024-12-15 3.847135 7.503970 13.514111 23.680595 39.894513 64.064684 101.909936
2024-12-22 3.305923 6.830141 12.882557 23.508383 41.010650 67.829216 110.856585
2024-12-29 3.074717 6.670860 13.079880 24.686047 44.319214 75.088261 125.440902
2025-01-05 2.734002 6.248851 12.763030 24.948346 46.138226 80.125162 136.880545
2025-01-12 2.287803 5.556138 11.893344 24.194440 46.263526 82.591521 144.637943
2025-01-19 1.892031 4.892303 10.984850 23.261623 45.985054 84.365172 151.385706
2025-01-26 1.757710 4.771882 11.114282 24.263716 49.182147 92.088489 168.259051
2025-02-02 1.742409 4.920598 11.802001 26.396386 54.572941 103.830240 192.412032
2025-02-09 1.641335 4.848163 12.019740 27.621941 58.376284 113.051168 212.787582
2025-02-16 1.453856 4.527151 11.663956 27.653986 59.931878 118.424313 226.862913
2025-02-23 1.240703 4.095002 11.001748 26.976584 60.057505 121.240180 236.625269
2025-03-02 1.094405 3.810806 10.634979 26.878327 61.292121 126.103801 250.197283
2025-03-09 0.994818 3.636728 10.501703 27.266164 63.509918 132.866353 267.436191
2025-03-16 0.875664 3.378079 10.125742 27.068781 64.506766 137.385660 280.808682
2025-03-23 0.842998 3.380428 10.405666 28.396850 68.766082 148.298890 306.371732